Topic: Dividend Stocks

AGRIUM INC. $109 – Toronto symbol AGU

AGRIUM INC. $109 (Toronto symbol AGU; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Resources sector; Shares outstanding: 143.7 million; Market cap: $15.7 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 1.0; Dividend yield 3.3%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.agrium.com) gets just 3% of its revenue from potash, so the Russian mine shutdown will have little impact on its short-term earnings.

Agrium’s 1,400 retail stores supply 78% of its revenue. Nitrogen fertilizers it manufactures from natural gas provide the remaining 19%.

Equipment failures have forced the company to shut down its Vanscoy potash mine in Saskatchewan. Agrium is taking advantage of this outage to increase this project’s capacity by 40%.

This expansion will cost $2 billion (all amounts except share price and market cap in U.S. dollars). Vanscoy should resume operating by the end of 2014, and reach full capacity by 2018.

Meanwhile, the company’s earnings rose 8.8% in the three months ended September 30, 2014, to $87 million from $80 million a year earlier. Earnings per share rose 11.1%, to $0.60 from $0.54, on fewer shares outstanding. Revenue gained 4.4%, to $2.9 billion from $2.8 billion.

These increases are partly due to the Western Canadian retail stores Agrium bought from Viterra in October 2013. Higher earnings from its nitrogen and phosphate fertilizer operations, as well as a lower income tax rate, also contributed.

The company now plans to sell some of its less-important businesses and cut 3% of its workforce. These moves should save it a total of $475 million by 2017.

The stock trades at 15.6 times the $6.07 a share that Agrium will probably earn this year. However, its earnings could rise to $8.42 a share in 2015, and the stock trades at just 11.3 times that estimate. The $3.12 dividend yields 3.3%.

Agrium is a buy.

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