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  • While I own AQN, I believe any utility that banks heavily on renewables, requires more watching and review. An “old style utility” was easy to predict as the rate base on conventional utilities was highly predictable and conventional had a long life. Wind and solar have a 20-25 year life and most current renewable facilities, based on heavy subsidies or rate base deals, are now at 50-75% of life requiring replacement fairly soon. Meanwhile, there is a demand for even more during a period of high inflation, supply chain issues, governments perhaps cutting back on subsidies and growing NIMBY factors. There is a huge reliability question especially in winter months. Therefore, it is both daunting to rebuild old facilities while planning new ones. The easy money of the last ten years may be gone.

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