Topic: Energy Stocks

Higher oil sands spending, fewer gas projects for this energy giant

With an uncertain outlook in the energy industry, this Canadian integrated oil company takes decisive steps to strengthen its position.

Circumstances have prompted the company to cancel several major gas projects. At the same time it has increased its spending at its big oil sands project. The stock raised its dividend last year, and continues to trade at a moderate level to projected cash flow.


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IMPERIAL OIL LTD.  (Toronto symbol IMO; www.imperialoil.ca) is Canada’s third-largest publicly traded oil company, after Suncor Energy (No. 1) and Canadian Natural Resources. U.S.-based ExxonMobil (New York symbol XOM) owns 69.6% of Imperial.

About 90% of Imperial’s crude production comes from its Alberta oil sands operations, including its 25% stake in the Syncrude project. Suncor (Toronto symbol SU) now owns 53.74% of Syncrude, but Imperial manages it.

The company also has conventional oil and natural gas operations in Western Canada and owns stakes in projects off the coast of Atlantic Canada.

Over the next two years, the company plans to spend $550 million to expand its Kearl oil sands project in northern Alberta. While Imperial owns 71% of Kearl, Exxon-Mobil owns the remaining 29%. The expansion should increase Kearl’s gross production capacity to 240,000 barrels a day from 220,000.

The project should also improve Kearl’s efficiency and cut its operating costs per barrel to $20 U.S. from $24 U.S.

Overall, the company plans to spend an average of $2 billion per year on exploration and upgrades to its operations through 2021. That spending could reduce the $1 billion that Imperial typically spends each year on share buybacks. However, they’re unlikely to stop the company from continuing to increase its dividend.

Energy stocks: Cash flow jumps 50% in the fourth quarter

Due to the lack of terminals available to export liquefied natural gas from B.C. to Asia, Imperial has decided to cancel plans for its Horn River natural gas development in northeastern B.C. The company has also cancelled its Mackenzie gas pipeline project. It would have pumped gas from the Beaufort Sea to Alberta.

In all, Imperial wrote off $566 million in development and related costs. As a result, it lost $137 million, or $0.16 a share, in the three months ended December 31, 2017. A year earlier, it earned $1.4 billion, or $1.70.

Revenue in the quarter declined 4.3%, to $8.1 billion from $8.4 billion. Lower volumes at its refining businesses, due to a planned maintenance shutdown, offset higher oil production and prices. In the quarter, Imperial produced an average of 391,000 barrels a day, down 0.8% from 401,000 a year earlier.

However, Imperial’s cash flow jumped 50.0%, to $1.11 from $0.74.

With the July 2017 payment, the company raised its quarterly dividend by 6.7%. Investors now receive $0.16 a share instead of $0.15. The annual rate of $0.64 yields 1.6%.

The stock trades at a reasonable 9.2 times the company’s projected 2018 cash flow of $3.74 a share.

Recommendation in The Successful Investor: Imperial Oil is a buy.

For our specific advice on making the right decisions on energy stocks today, read Energy Sector Stocks: Tips that every successful investor should know about.

For our recent report on a unique Canadian oil services stock, read Canadian stock’s technology vital to oil and gas producers.

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