Topic: Growth Stocks

COMPUTER MODELLING GROUP $12.73 – Toronto symbol CMG

COMPUTER MODELLING GROUP $12.73 (Toronto symbol CMG; TSINetwork Rating: Speculative) (403-531-1300; www.cmgl.ca; Shares outstanding: 78.6 million; Market cap: $1.0 billion; Dividend yield: 3.1%) sells software and consulting services that help conventional oil and gas producers create complex 3D models of reservoirs. That lets them squeeze more out of those reservoirs using advanced recovery techniques such as injecting steam or chemicals. Typically, only 25% to 30% of oil and gas is recovered during primary production.

Unconventional producers, using hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, of oil and gas-bearing shale, can also use Computer Modelling’s software to determine optimal drilling locations and depths.

In the three months ended December 31, 2014, Computer Modelling’s revenue rose 31.1%, to $25.2 million from $19.2 million a year earlier. Software licensing revenue (92% of the total) rose 34.8%, and consulting and professional services revenue (8%) was virtually unchanged.

Earnings jumped 52.4%, to $11.0 million, or $0.14 a share, from $7.2 million or $0.09. Earnings benefited from the higher revenues, cost cuts and a stronger U.S. dollar.

The company makes mostly recurring revenue from software licences and maintenance contracts for its products. Its renewal rate is over 98%, and most of its customers are major oil and gas firms. That gives Computer Modelling long-term stability, even when oil and gas prices are falling.

Computer Modelling is a buy.

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