Topic: Growth Stocks

McGraw-Hill Companies Ltd. $38 – New York symbol MHP

MCGRAW-HILL COMPANIES LTD. $38 (New York symbol MHP; Conservative Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 320.7 million; Market cap: $12.2 billion; WSSF Rating: Average) has three main operations: financial information under the Standard & Poor’s brand (45% of sales in 2007, 75% of profit); school textbooks (40%, 22%); and the media division which includes BusinessWeek magazine and four TV stations (15%, 3%).

Standard & Poor’s gets most of its income from charging fees for assigning a credit grade to bonds and other securities. Falling volumes of new bond issuances plus slowing corporate lending will likely hurt its short-term growth.

However, Standard & Poor’s should gain from growing investor demand for investment-grade corporate bonds and government securities.

McGraw-Hill’s other businesses have helped it offset the problems at Standard & Poor’s. Thanks to strong sales of textbooks to elementary schools and colleges, McGraw-Hill’s overall revenue grew 7.9%, to $6.8 billion in 2007 from $6.3 billion in 2006. Earnings rose 17.6%, to $3.01 a share (total $1.04 billion) from $2.56 a share ($904.2 million) thanks to the benefits of a restructuring plan.

McGraw-Hill’s balance sheet is strong. Long-term debt of $1.2 billion is just 0.8 times its annual cash flow. It also has $396.1 million ($1.23 a share) in cash.

That should let McGraw-Hill continue to aggressively repurchase its stock. It spent $2.2 billion on buybacks in 2007, and still has around $1 billion remaining on its current authorization.

The stock is down 48% from its all-time peak of $72.50 in June 2007. It now trades at just 13.1 times the $2.91 a share it will probably earn in 2008. The $0.88 dividend yields 2.3%.

McGraw-Hill is a buy.

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