Topic: Growth Stocks

TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INC. $54 – Nasdaq symbol TXN

TEXAS INSTRUMENTS INC. $54 (Nasdaq symbol TXN; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Manufacturing & Industry sector; Shares outstanding: 1.0 billion; Market cap: $54.0 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 4.3; Dividend yield: 2.5%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.ti.com) gets 65% of its revenue from analog chips, which convert inputs like touch, sound and pressure into signals computers can understand. Manufacturers use these chips in a variety of products, such as cars, medical devices and appliances.

The company gets a further 20% of its revenue by making embedded processor chips, which perform mathematical calculations. Many clients supply their own software for these chips. This gives Texas Instruments an opportunity to form long-term relationships with these users, as it helps them adapt their software to the new chips. That makes these customers less likely to switch to other chipmakers.

Handheld calculators, specialized chips and licensing fees provide the remaining 15% of revenue.

Earnings rise, costs fall

Intense competition from other chipmakers has prompted Texas Instruments to stop making digital chips for mobile phones and focus more on analog chips. As part of this plan, it bought analog chipmaker National Semiconductor for $6.5 billion in 2011.

Texas Instruments’revenue fell 12.6%, from $14.0 billion in 2010 to $12.2 billion in 2013 as it wound down its mobile chip business. Its revenue then rebounded to $13.0 billion in 2014.

Earnings declined 45.5%, from $3.2 billion in 2010 to $1.8 billion in 2012. Per-share profits fell 42.4%, to $2.62 from $1.51, on fewer shares outstanding. Earnings then turned around and rose to $1.75 a share (or a total of $2.0 billion) in 2013 and $2.57 a share (or $2.8 billion) in 2014.

Analog chips tend to have longer life cycles than digital chips, which is partly why Texas Instruments’ research costs fell 10.8%, to $1.4 billion (or 10.4% of revenue) in 2014 from $1.5 billion (or 12.5%) in 2013. The switch to analog chips also means the company needs to spend less on new manufacturing gear, so its capital spending fell 6.6% in 2014.

More cash for buybacks, dividends

Texas Instruments is using these savings to buy back more shares; the company has cut the number of shares outstanding by 39% in the past 10 years. It has also raised its dividend annually for the past 11 years. The current annual rate of $1.36 yields 2.5%.

The company’s sound balance sheet will let it keep expanding. As of March 31, 2015, its long-term debt was $3.6 billion, or just 7% of its market cap. It also held cash of $3.3 billion, or $3.16 a share.

Internet of Things has big potential

The stock has gained 13% in the past year and now trades at 20.0 times the $2.70 a share Texas Instruments will probably earn in 2015.

That’s a reasonable multiple, particularly in light of the fact that manufacturers will need the company’s analog chips to connect more of their products and equipment to the Internet. This allows for remote monitoring, which lets them catch problems earlier.

Texas Instruments is a buy.

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