Topic: Growth Stocks

TRANSCONTINENTAL INC. $18

TRANSCONTINENTAL INC. $18 (Toronto symbol TCL.A; Aggressive Growth Portfolio, Consumer sector; Shares outstanding: 78.1 million; Market cap: $1.4 billion; Price-to-sales ratio: 0.7; Dividend yield: 4.1%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.tctranscontinental.com) is Canada’s leading printer of flyers, magazines, newspapers and books. Commercial printing supplies 73% of its revenue.

The remaining 27% of sales comes from publishing 185 weekly newspapers in Quebec and Atlantic Canada. The company’s media division also helps its clients create and manage their direct mail and online marketing campaigns.

Due to acquisitions of printing plants and an online advertising firm, revenue rose 6.2%, from $1.99 billion in 2011 to $2.11 billion in 2012 (fiscal years end October 31). Lower advertising revenue and the sale of assets cut overall revenue to $2.10 billion in 2013, and to $1.99 billion in 2014. Revenue then rose to $2.00 billion in 2015.

Acquisitions spurred recent earnings

The company’s earnings declined from $1.92 a share (or a total of $155.3 million) in 2011 to $1.85 a share (or $149.4 million) in 2012. Overall earnings fell again to $148.3 million in 2013, but per-share earnings improved to $1.90 on fewer shares outstanding. Earnings turned around in 2014 to $2.11 a share (or $164.7 million), and grew again to $2.39 a share (or $186.7 million) in 2015.

Transcontinental’s recent gains came mainly from acquisitions aimed at cutting its reliance on cyclical advertising. These include its $146.1 million purchase of U.S.-based Capri Packaging, a maker of plastic bags and pouches for dairy products. Capri contributed $99.3 million to Transcontinental’s 2015 revenue, and $23.6 million to its gross profits.

The company also paid $115.2 million for Brooklyn, New York-based Ultra Flex Packaging. This firm makes flexible plastic packages for candy, coffee and other foods.

Adding scale in Quebec media market

In addition, Transcontinental continues to consolidate its newspaper operations. As part of this plan, it acquired 74 weekly newspapers in Quebec from Sun Media for $78.8 million. The purchase should add $20 million to its annual gross profits.

The company’s balance sheet remains sound. As of April 30, 2016, its long-term debt of $347.6 million was a moderate 25% of its market cap. It also held cash of $42.9 million, or $0.55 a share.

Weak advertising revenue will probably cut Transcontinental’s earnings in fiscal 2016 to $2.28 a share. The stock trades at a low 7.9 times that forecast.

Safe dividend increase

Despite the lower earnings forecast, the company recently raised its dividend by 8.8%; the new annual rate of $0.74 yields 4.1%. In the latest quarter, dividends accounted for just 18% of Transcontinental’s free cash flow (cash flow less capital expenditures), so the current rate seems safe.

Transcontinental is a buy.

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