Topic: Growth Stocks

VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS INC. $47 – New York symbol VZ

VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS INC. $47 (New York symbol VZ, Conservative Growth and Income Portfolios, Utilities sector; Shares outstanding: 2.9 billion; Market cap: $136.3 billion; Priceto- sales ratio: 1.2; Dividend yield: 4.5%; TSINetwork Rating: Average; www.verizon.com) is the second-largest wireless service provider in the U.S., with 100.1 million subscribers. Market leader AT&T has 107.9 million wireless customers.

Wireless now supplies 67% of Verizon’s revenue and 80% of its earnings. The remaining 33% of revenue and 20% of earnings comes from its 21.8 million phone and Internet customers.

Verizon’s revenue rose 10.7%, from $97.4 billion in 2008 to $107.8 billion in 2009. Revenue dipped to $106.6 billion in 2010 but then rebounded to $115.8 billion in 2012.

The company’s earnings are more erratic. They fell from $2.54 a share (or a total of $7.2 billion) in 2008 to $2.15 a share (or $6.1 billion) in 2011 but recovered to $2.24 a share (or $6.4 billion) in 2012.

In the three months ended June 30, 2013, Verizon’s revenue rose 4.3%, to $29.8 billion from $28.6 billion a year earlier. Earnings jumped 21.9%, to $0.78 a share (or $2.2 billion) from $0.64 a share (or $1.8 billion). If you exclude a one-time gain from an adjustment to one of the company’s pension plans, earnings per share rose 14.1% to $0.73 a share.

Verizon added 1.04 million wireless clients, net of deactivations, in the latest quarter, down 11.9% from a year ago. However, it’s doing a good job of getting subscribers to sign long-term contracts, which are more profitable than pay-as-you-go plans. Long-term clients now represent 94% of its wireless customers.

Many of Verizon’s regular phone customers are also switching to wireless. As a result, its active residential phone lines fell 18.6%, to 7.2 million.

Look beyond high price tag

Verizon now plans to buy the 45% of its Verizon Wireless subsidiary that it doesn’t already own from U.K.-based Vodafone Group (Nasdaq symbol VOD). The purchase price is $130 billion.

Under the deal, Verizon will pay $58.9 billion in cash and issue $60.2 billion worth of shares to Vodafone investors. The price of these shares will range between $47.00 and $51.00. Following the transaction, Vodafone shareholders will own between 29.2% and 30.9% of Verizon.

Verizon will also issue a $5.0-billion note to Vodafone and sell its 23.1% stake in an Italian wireless carrier to Vodafone for $3.5 billion. Verizon will pay the remaining $2.5 billion in some other form of consideration. It expects to complete the purchase in the first quarter of 2014.

The company has already secured a $61 billion bridge loan. That will more than double Verizon’s long-term debt— which was $41.8 billion on June 30, 2013— to a high 75% of its market cap.

However, the wireless joint venture had cash flow, after capital expenditures, of $28.6 billion in 2012. That should help Verizon quickly pay down the extra debt.

As well, higher interest costs should not hinder Verizon’s plan to keep improving its networks. The company now plans to spend $16.4 billion to $16.6 billion on these projects in 2013, up slightly from its earlier forecast of $16.2 billion.

Faster wireless will fuel growth

Verizon will make most of these upgrades to its wireless network. It continues to upgrade its systems to the long-term evolution (LTE) standard, which is up to five times faster than current wireless networks.

These investments will help Verizon keep up with booming demand for faster smartphones and wireless downloads. In the latest quarter, LTE systems handled 59% of Verizon’s wireless data traffic.

In addition, the company continues to expand its FiOS (Fibre Optic Service) Internet service. This work mainly involves installing high-speed fibre optic lines directly into subscribers’homes.

Verizon added 161,000 new FiOS Internet customers in the latest quarter, up 20.1% from a year earlier. It now has a total of 5.8 million FiOS users, 12.1% more than a year ago.

FiOS also lets Verizon sell digital TV services to its clients, which helps it compete with cable firms. Verizon added 140,000 new TV customers in the latest quarter, up 16.7%. It now has 5.0 million FiOS TV subscribers, 12.6% more than a year ago.

Dividend hikes should continue

Even with the high cost of the Verizon Wireless buyout, the company has room to raise its dividend. It recently increased the quarterly payout by 2.9%, to $0.53 a share from $0.515. The new annual rate of $2.12 yields 4.5%. This was the seventh consecutive year that Verizon has raised its dividend.

The company should earn $2.79 a share in 2013, and the stock trades at 16.8 times that estimate. The extra contribution from the wireless business should increase profits to $3.25 a share in 2014. The stock trades at a more reasonable 14.5 times that forecast.

Verizon is a buy.

Comments

Tell Us What YOU Think

You must be logged in to post a comment.

Please be respectful with your comments and help us keep this an area that everyone can enjoy. If you believe a comment is abusive or otherwise violates our Terms of Use, please click here to report it to the administrator.