Topic: How To Invest

Dun & Bradstreet stands apart from tainted credit rating competitors

Dun & Bradstreet stands apart from tainted credit rating competitors

DUN & BRADSTREET CORP. (New York symbol DNB; www.dnb.com) began operating in 1841 and is now the world’s largest provider of credit reports on individual companies. Its database contains information on 220 million businesses in over 200 countries. Companies use these reports to make lending and purchasing decisions and to cut their credit losses.

The company gets 63% of its revenue from credit reports. The remaining 37% comes from other information products, including software to help businesses manage customer data and websites.

We recently recommended that investors sell Moody’s (New York symbol MCO) and McGraw-Hill Companies (New York symbol MHP), which owns Standard & Poor’s. That’s because the U.S. Justice Department has accused Standard & Poor’s of failing to downgrade mortgage-backed securities even though it knew home prices were falling and borrowers were having trouble repaying their loans. The threat of a similar lawsuit will probably also weigh on Moody’s stock for years.

However, Dun & Bradstreet evaluates only the credit worthiness of individual companies; it does not provide ratings on bonds and other securities issued by companies as the other two agencies do. As a result, Dun & Bradstreet played no role in the 2008-2009 subprime mortgage crisis.

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Investing in stocks: Company aims to boost revenues by making data 30% more accurate

In 2012, Dun & Bradstreet’s revenue fell 5.4%, to $1.66 billion from $1.79 billion in 2011. If you disregard the impact of businesses that the company sold during the year, revenue would have fallen 1%, as the uncertain economy prompted businesses to cut spending on information products.

Earnings fell 2.2%, from $291.2 million in 2008 to $284.7 million in 2010. However, Dun & Bradstreet is an aggressive share re-purchaser, so its earnings per share rose 7.2%, from $5.27 to $5.65. Earnings rebounded to $318.8 million, or $6.94 a share, in 2012.

Dun & Bradstreet aims to boost its long-term revenue growth by making its data 30% more accurate. In 2012, it spent $30.3 million (or 1.8% of its revenue) on upgrading its computer systems and other related initiatives. The company holds cash of $149.1 million, or $3.61 a share.

Earnings should rise to $7.51 a share in 2013. The stock trades at 10.9 times that estimate. The company has a long history of raising its dividend. The current annual rate of $1.60 a share yields 2.0%.

In the latest edition of Wall Street Stock Forecaster, we look at Dun & Bradstreet’s balance sheet and whether it can support the added risk of its investments in new projects and acquisitions, particularly in overseas markets. We conclude with our clear buy-hold-sell advice on the stock.

(Note: If you are a current subscriber to Wall Street Stock Forecaster, please click here to view Pat’s recommendation. Be sure to log in first.)

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Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s have taken some blame for their role in the so-called subprime mortgage bubble that triggered the 2008-2009 financial crisis, and in February the U.S. Justice department sued Standard & Poor’s for $5 billion, alleging that it “knowingly” defrauded investors with its inflated ratings on mortgage-backed securities. Do you believe there is a solution to a situation like this that does not involve intrusive government regulation? Let us know what you think.

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