Topic: How To Invest

Pitney Bowes strives to adapt to the Internet age

Pitney Bowes strives to adapt to the Internet age

Pat McKeough responds to many personal questions about investing in stocks and other topics on investment and the economy from the members of his Inner Circle. Every week, his comments and recommendations on the most intriguing questions of the past week go out to all Inner Circle members. And each week, we offer you one of the highlights from these Q&A sessions. While we reserve our buy-hold-sell advice for Inner Circle members, these excerpts provide a great deal of information and analysis on stocks we’ve covered for members of Pat’s Inner Circle.

This week, we received a question from an Inner Circle member about Pitney Bowes. This company has been a leader in the manufacture of postage meters and mailing equipment, and Pat assesses its efforts to adapt to the growing predominance of electronic mail and Internet communications.

Q: Hi: What’s your view on Pitney Bowes? Thank you.

A: Pitney Bowes Inc., $13.58, symbol PBI on New York (Shares outstanding: 201.3 million; Market cap: $2.7 billion; www.pb.com), is the world’s largest manufacturer of postage meters and mailing equipment. The company also makes software that helps businesses communicate with their customers and analyze their spending patterns.

Pitney Bowes operates through two main segments: the Small and Medium Business division (which supplies 50% of overall revenue and 75% of earnings) and the Enterprise Solutions division, which focuses on larger organizations (50% of revenue and 25% of earnings).

More businesses are shifting away from mail to email and other Internet-based communications. That continues to hurt demand for Pitney Bowes’ postage meters. In response, the company has exited unprofitable businesses and cut jobs.

In 2012, Pitney Bowes’ revenue fell 4.3%, to $4.9 billion from $5.1 billion in 2011. Overseas clients supply a third of the company’s revenue. If you exclude the negative impact of currency exchange rates, its revenue would have fallen 3% in 2012.

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Bulk of company’s debt earmarked for financial subsidiary that helps clients lease equipment

Without one-time items, such as goodwill writedowns and severance costs, Pitney Bowes’ earnings per share fell 10.4%, to $2.07 from $2.31.

Pitney Bowes’ long-term debt of $3.6 billion is a high 133% of its market cap. About 90% of this debt consists of loans issued by its financing subsidiary to help clients lease postage meters and other equipment. That adds risk, particularly if the economy weakens and more businesses declare bankruptcy. Pitney Bowes also holds cash and investments of $949.9 million, or $4.73 a share.

Pitney Bowes’ 2013 earnings will probably fall to $1.90 a share. The stock trades at 7.1 times that estimate. The company has cut back on share buybacks to conserve cash. The annual dividend rate of $1.50 yields a very high 11.1%.

In the Inner Circle Q&A, Pat looks at whether Pitney Bowes can offset declining revenue from its core postage meters and mailing equipment with new its new Volly software, which helps large businesses manage their billing, and Connect+ software, which makes it easier to print colour patterns on envelopes. He also examines whether the company can maintain its quarterly dividend at the current rate. He concludes with his clear buy-hold-sell advice on the stock.

(Note: If you are a current member of the Inner Circle, please click here to view Pat’s recommendation. Be sure to log in first.)

COMMENTS PLEASE—Share your investment experience and opinions with fellow TSINetwork.ca members

When you see a company that is making a major transition to new technology, do you tend to avoid it or are you willing to give it a chance based on a past record of success? Do you have an example of a company that fell particularly hard in trying to make this transition—or one that was a notable success? Let us know what you think.

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