Topic: Value Stocks

Strong global markets are good news, bad news for this stock

Thanks to its well-known brand, this U.S. stock now has the vast majority of its sales in international markets.

However, the higher U.S. dollar hurts the contributions of those overseas sales. The company is working to improve efficiency and cut costs. And its revenue in the most recent quarter beat the consensus estimate. The shares are trading at just 7.8 times the forecast earnings for next year, while the dividend appears safe and yields a high 7.3%.


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TUPPERWARE BRANDS CORP. (New York symbol TUP; www.tupperwarebrands.com) makes household goods such as plastic containers for food, beverages, cosmetics and fragrances. It sells these products through 3.2 million independent dealers. That network keeps its distribution costs down.

Although the stock has been down much of the year, it rebounded partially after the company reported better-than-expected quarterly results last month.

In the quarter ended September 29, 2018, revenue fell 10.0%, to $485.8 million from $539.5 million a year earlier. That’s partly because the company recently sold its Beauticontrol business, which sells cosmetics and personal-care products, to Youngevity International Inc. (Nasdaq symbol YGYI). The lower revenue nonetheless beat the consensus estimate of $478.3 million.

Tupperware gets around 90% of its revenue and earnings from international markets, and a higher dollar hurts their contribution to the company’s overall results. However, revenue from emerging markets (excluding currency rates) rose 2% in the quarter.

Earnings before unusual items, declined 11.7%, to $0.91 a share from $1.03. That also beat the consensus estimate of $0.82. If you disregard exchange rates, earnings per share gained 1%.

Value Stocks: Company buying back $200 million of its shares in 2018

Several factors have affected Tupperware’s earnings this year: the closure of a plant in France, which disrupted sales in that country and Germany; lower-than-expected sales in Indonesia; lower sales in Brazil due to supply problems and quality-control issues; and a bigger-than-expected negative impact from recent changes to the U.S. tax code.

The company last raised its quarterly dividend by 9.7% with the April 2014 payment. Investors receive $0.68 per share for an annual rate of $2.72. The dividend seems safe, and yields a high 7.3%.

As well, the company has repurchased $100 million of its shares this year; its overall plan is to buy back $200 million worth of shares in 2018.

Meantime, Tupperware will continue to cut jobs and improve efficiency. Despite those savings, the company now expects to earn between $4.25 and $4.35 a share in 2018, which is below the consensus estimate of $4.50.

However, earnings will probably improve to $4.75 a share in 2019. The stock trades at just 7.8 times that forecast. The company’s strong brand continues to offer steady growth prospects and a sustainable dividend in the face of its currency woes.

Recommendation in Wall Street Stock Forecaster: Tupperware is a buy for long-term gains.


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Comments

  • I do not understand, TUP expects to earn between $4.25 and $4.35 a share in 2018, but in Yahoo finance it says they have a loss of -3.726 per share. Why the difference????

    • TSI Research 

      We can’t vouch for Yahoo’s number—but our forecast is for earnings excluding one-time items. That gives you a better look at the company’s ongoing performance.

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