Topic: How To Invest

What is Pat’s commentary for the week of February 19, 2014?

Article Excerpt

You may have read about the “scary 1929 market chart” that has been making the rounds on Wall Street. It shows two periods of trading history of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, superimposed one over the other. (You can see the chart in a Mark Hulbert column at www.marketwatch.com) One period covers 1928 and 1929. The Dow had a sharp rise in 1928 and the first three quarters of 1929, followed by the October 1929 market plunge which led into the 1930s depression. The second period on the chart shows the Dow from mid-2012 through today. The two periods are aligned so that the peak in the 1929 market is roughly above the recent peak in today’s market. When you compare the two historical patterns, you can see some vague similarity between the two sets of squiggles. It’s clear that the creator of the chart wants to suggest that history is repeating itself and the Dow is headed for a 1929-1932…