Topic: Energy Stocks

Encana to lower reliance on gas with more oil and NGLs

Encana to lower reliance on gas with more oil and NGLs

ENCANA CORP. (Toronto symbol ECA; www.encana.com) is one of North America’s largest natural gas producers. The company is now cutting its reliance on natural gas, as rising shale gas production has cut prices from $11.50 U.S. per thousand cubic feet in 2008 to just $3.60 U.S. today.

Encana plans to narrow its focus from around 30 properties to five: Montney (B.C.), Duvernay (Alberta), DJ Basin (Colorado), San Juan Basin (New Mexico) and Tuscaloosa Marine Shale (Louisiana).

These five fields also produce significant amounts of oil and natural gas liquids (NGLs), such as butane and propane, and should last decades. Encana expects oil and NGLs to supply 75% of its cash flow by 2017, up from about 35% today.

Encana’s restructuring also includes closing its office in Plano, Texas, and cutting 20% of its workforce by the end of this year. The company did not say how much it expects to pay in severance and other costs.

Energy stocks: Shares from Clearwater spinoff due to go public in mid-2014

To free up cash for these developments, Encana has cut its quarterly dividend by 65.0%, to $0.07 a share from $0.20 (all amounts except share price and market cap in U.S. dollars). The shares now yield 1.6%. The lower payout frees up cash that Encana can use to develop its five main properties.

In addition, Encana will transfer its Clearwater oil and gas properties in southern Alberta to a new company. Encana plans to sell shares in this new firm to the public in mid-2014, but it will retain a controlling interest.

Focusing on fewer properties will let the company cut its capital spending from about $2.8 billion in 2013 to $2.5 billion in 2014. To put these figures in context, the company’s cash flow was $1.9 billion in the first nine months of 2013. The five main properties will account for 75% of its 2014 capital budget.

In response to weak gas prices, the company continues to expand its hedging program. For the second half of 2013, it has hedged roughly 75% of its expected production at $4.37 U.S. per thousand cubic feet. That’s 22.8% higher than today’s price of $3.56 U.S. For 2014, Encana has hedged 55% of its forecast output at $4.19 U.S. per thousand cubic feet.

In the latest edition of The Successful Investor, we look at whether Encana’s focus on producing more oil and NGLs is likely to enhance the company’s long-term outlook. We also assess the value of the Clearwater spinoff. We conclude with our clear buy-sell-hold advice on the stock.

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